Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.000695 0.000788 0.000885 0.000996 0.001118 0.001247 0.001395
2025-11-30 0.000546 0.000673 0.000817 0.000991 0.001192 0.001419 0.001691
2025-12-07 0.000465 0.000609 0.000778 0.000990 0.001246 0.001543 0.001911
2025-12-14 0.000399 0.000551 0.000737 0.000978 0.001279 0.001640 0.002098
2025-12-21 0.000345 0.000501 0.000698 0.000962 0.001302 0.001718 0.002260
2025-12-28 0.000318 0.000481 0.000694 0.000987 0.001373 0.001856 0.002497
2026-01-04 0.000291 0.000458 0.000684 0.001002 0.001430 0.001975 0.002712
2026-01-11 0.000260 0.000427 0.000659 0.000994 0.001454 0.002052 0.002873
2026-01-18 0.000233 0.000398 0.000633 0.000983 0.001473 0.002120 0.003023
2026-01-25 0.000215 0.000381 0.000624 0.000992 0.001517 0.002223 0.003220
2026-02-01 0.000197 0.000362 0.000610 0.000994 0.001552 0.002311 0.003398
2026-02-08 0.000173 0.000331 0.000576 0.000964 0.001539 0.002334 0.003487
2026-02-15 0.000153 0.000305 0.000548 0.000940 0.001534 0.002367 0.003593
2026-02-22 0.000139 0.000288 0.000532 0.000936 0.001556 0.002440 0.003754
2026-03-01 0.000127 0.000274 0.000520 0.000935 0.001582 0.002517 0.003923
2026-03-08 0.000115 0.000257 0.000502 0.000924 0.001593 0.002572 0.004060
2026-03-15 0.000103 0.000240 0.000482 0.000908 0.001596 0.002615 0.004180
2026-03-22 0.000098 0.000237 0.000487 0.000932 0.001660 0.002749 0.004435
2026-03-29 0.000093 0.000231 0.000485 0.000946 0.001709 0.002861 0.004660
2026-04-05 0.000084 0.000218 0.000472 0.000939 0.001722 0.002920 0.004807
2026-04-12 0.000077 0.000206 0.000457 0.000928 0.001730 0.002970 0.004941
2026-04-19 0.000072 0.000200 0.000453 0.000937 0.001770 0.003069 0.005151
2026-04-26 0.000067 0.000192 0.000446 0.000939 0.001798 0.003150 0.005335